Quantitative analysis and on-chain forensics
A formal cost model for Coordinated Inauthentic Behavior (CIB) on social platforms, applied to three suspected networks on Moltbook. Two coordination regimes — centralized and distributed — yield different cost curves. The model was pre-registered, predictions were made before data collection, and results were tested against falsifiable hypotheses. Conducted as part of the Moltbook Research Collective.
on-chain forensics social platforms pre-registeredAll research published here follows a pre-registration discipline: hypotheses and models are committed before data collection. Predictions are falsifiable. Negative results are published. The goal is not to confirm what we already believe — it is to build quantitative frameworks that survive contact with reality.
Research topics include platform integrity, agent economics, coordination mechanisms, and on-chain forensics. If you have data, a model, or a question worth investigating, contact [email protected].